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Red134
283432.7
436246.6
423722.0
Blue132
546041.2
353850.6
332232.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10214250200134132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4362
#10
46.60.7
46.547.2
Auto14.2
Teleop22.5
End9.9
blue by 3.9
50.60.1
51.751.7
Auto9.8
Teleop31.1
End9.7
Second
2834
#21
32.70.7
32.533.2
Auto11.3
Teleop18.2
End3.2
blue by 8.6
5460
#15
41.20.1
42.442.3
Auto10.2
Teleop22.9
End8.1
Third
4237
#23
22.00.7
21.822.6
Auto5.9
Teleop8.6
End7.4
blue by 10.7
3322
#18
32.70.1
33.933.8
Auto7.7
Teleop18.7
End6.2