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Red110
560323.4
675331.1
717834.8
Blue79
526016.1
508435.0
357227.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions808705010015020011079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7178
#17
34.81.2
28.729.9
Auto7.4
Teleop13.6
End13.8
blue by 0.3
35.00.1
36.135.9
Auto6.9
Teleop15.3
End12.9
Second
6753
#16
31.11.2
26.427.6
Auto8.4
Teleop13.1
End9.6
red by 3.9
3572
#38
27.20.1
28.628.4
Auto9.7
Teleop8.1
End9.5
Third
5603
#23
23.41.2
20.621.8
Auto7.5
Teleop10.0
End5.9
red by 7.3
5260
#39
16.10.1
16.116.0
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
80%Cargo oddsEarned60%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
76%Hangar oddsEarned96%Hangar oddsEarned