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Red79
658028.6
440519.6
546227.0
Blue59
861214.9
207542.6
377023.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions778740601001201401607959

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.60.4
29.429.8
Auto7.8
Teleop7.5
End13.3
blue by 14.0
2075
#12
42.61.7
44.943.2
Auto14.3
Teleop24.2
End4.2
Second
5462
#11
27.00.4
24.825.2
Auto8.6
Teleop10.7
End7.7
red by 4.0
3770
#27
23.01.7
22.821.1
Auto6.8
Teleop7.0
End9.1
Third
4405
#40
19.60.4
19.019.4
Auto6.4
Teleop10.1
End3.2
red by 4.7
8612
#33
14.91.7
12.410.7
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
64%Cargo oddsMissed73%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
71%Hangar oddsEarned82%Hangar oddsEarned