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Red71
440519.6
705629.7
705424.1
Blue99
519324.3
335747.0
515227.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions781080501502007199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7056
#18
29.70.7
31.230.5
Auto6.4
Teleop12.0
End11.4
blue by 17.3
47.00.1
43.343.4
Auto11.4
Teleop22.7
End12.9
Second
7054
#26
24.10.7
24.824.1
Auto6.9
Teleop9.9
End7.3
blue by 3.1
5152
#10
27.20.1
29.729.8
Auto7.9
Teleop8.9
End10.4
Third
4405
#40
19.60.7
21.120.4
Auto6.4
Teleop10.1
End3.2
blue by 4.7
5193
#24
24.30.1
24.324.4
Auto6.9
Teleop7.7
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
66%Cargo oddsMissed84%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
48%Hangar oddsEarned98%Hangar oddsEarned