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Red109
663725.8
560323.4
207542.6
Blue138
437722.2
571237.3
3344.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9610950150200250109138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2075
#12
42.60.9
44.945.8
Auto14.3
Teleop24.2
End4.2
blue by 2.1
33
#3
44.81.9
44.446.3
Auto13.2
Teleop23.2
End8.4
Second
6637
#28
25.80.9
26.026.9
Auto9.0
Teleop8.0
End8.7
blue by 11.5
5712
#13
37.31.9
36.438.3
Auto8.6
Teleop17.9
End10.8
Third
5603
#23
23.40.9
20.921.8
Auto7.5
Teleop10.0
End5.9
red by 1.2
22.21.9
20.222.1
Auto7.6
Teleop5.1
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
92%Cargo oddsEarned81%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
85%Hangar oddsEarned95%Hangar oddsEarned