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Red50
861214.9
531421.6
499421.1
Blue94
360427.3
341434.7
357227.2
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4910201502005094

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5314
#25
21.60.2
18.318.2
Auto6.3
Teleop8.0
End7.3
blue by 13.1
34.70.3
35.936.2
Auto9.6
Teleop19.2
End5.9
Second
4994
#29
21.10.2
21.721.5
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End12.5
blue by 6.2
3604
#20
27.30.3
26.026.3
Auto7.6
Teleop9.5
End10.2
Third
8612
#33
14.90.2
12.512.3
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End4.9
blue by 12.3
3572
#38
27.20.3
27.527.8
Auto9.7
Teleop8.1
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed59%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
89%Hangar oddsEarned85%Hangar oddsEarned