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Red80
376724.5
354630.2
360427.3
Blue86
658028.6
526016.1
717834.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86815060701001101201308086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3546
#15
30.20.3
30.330.0
Auto6.5
Teleop9.5
End14.2
blue by 4.6
7178
#17
34.80.6
33.434.0
Auto7.4
Teleop13.6
End13.8
Second
3604
#20
27.30.3
26.326.0
Auto7.6
Teleop9.5
End10.2
blue by 1.3
28.60.6
28.929.5
Auto7.8
Teleop7.5
End13.3
Third
3767
#31
24.50.3
23.823.5
Auto8.0
Teleop12.1
End4.5
red by 8.4
5260
#39
16.10.6
14.314.9
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
83%Cargo oddsEarned32%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
95%Hangar oddsEarned94%Hangar oddsEarned