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Red70
515227.2
3344.8
366715.5
Blue71
861214.9
546227.0
437722.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103610501507071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#3
44.81.4
46.545.1
Auto13.2
Teleop23.2
End8.4
red by 17.8
5462
#11
27.00.0
27.527.6
Auto8.6
Teleop10.7
End7.7
Second
5152
#10
27.21.4
29.127.6
Auto7.9
Teleop8.9
End10.4
red by 5.1
22.20.0
22.622.6
Auto7.6
Teleop5.1
End9.5
Third
3667
#37
15.51.4
16.114.7
Auto5.0
Teleop6.8
End3.8
red by 0.6
8612
#33
14.90.0
12.812.8
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
93%Cargo oddsEarned44%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
83%Hangar oddsEarned71%Hangar oddsEarned