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Quarterfinal 1-22022 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - APTIV Division
Red118
50343.7
276749.4
561214.7
Blue91
317538.1
296035.1
360330.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117111608010014016011891

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2767
#1
49.40.1
49.7→49.9
Auto14.6
Teleop21.2
End13.6
red by 11.4
3175
#16
38.10.3
38.4→38.1
Auto10.4
Teleop22.1
End5.6
Second
503
#3
43.70.1
44.0→44.2
Auto12.1
Teleop22.9
End8.7
red by 8.6
2960
#15
35.10.3
35.4→35.1
Auto7.5
Teleop18.2
End9.3
Third
5612
#32
14.70.1
15.0→15.1
Auto5.1
Teleop4.8
End4.8
blue by 16.1
3603
#17
30.80.3
31.2→30.8
Auto8.2
Teleop17.4
End5.3