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Red132
50343.7
276749.4
561214.7
Blue32
5136.1
57326.2
81830.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11810740608010014016018013232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.40.5
49.850.3
Auto14.6
Teleop21.2
End13.6
red by 13.3
51
#9
36.11.5
39.137.6
Auto8.9
Teleop16.4
End10.8
Second
503
#3
43.70.5
44.144.6
Auto12.1
Teleop22.9
End8.7
red by 13.5
818
#19
30.21.5
33.231.7
Auto8.4
Teleop13.1
End8.7
Third
5612
#32
14.70.5
15.115.6
Auto5.1
Teleop4.8
End4.8
blue by 11.5
573
#6
26.21.5
29.227.6
Auto5.5
Teleop13.0
End7.8