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Red106
85823.5
10735.7
609023.5
Blue65
55388.9
317538.1
368823.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8469406010012010665

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107
#4
35.71.7
35.337.0
Auto10.8
Teleop14.4
End10.5
blue by 2.4
3175
#16
38.10.1
36.136.0
Auto10.4
Teleop22.1
End5.6
Second
6090
#13
23.51.7
24.526.1
Auto5.1
Teleop8.6
End9.8
blue by 0.3
3688
#12
23.80.1
18.918.7
Auto7.4
Teleop9.6
End6.8
Third
858
#23
23.51.7
17.319.0
Auto5.9
Teleop11.1
End6.4
red by 14.5
5538
#38
8.90.1
11.611.5
Auto2.6
Teleop4.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
76%Cargo oddsEarned61%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
76%Hangar oddsEarned47%Hangar oddsMissed