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Red94
612218.2
81830.2
438138.3
Blue113
57326.2
353632.2
7040.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8710305015020094113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4381
#26
38.30.4
36.236.6
Auto11.6
Teleop21.1
End5.5
blue by 2.5
70
#8
40.71.0
35.636.6
Auto13.7
Teleop15.5
End11.5
Second
818
#19
30.20.4
30.030.5
Auto8.4
Teleop13.1
End8.7
blue by 2.0
3536
#20
32.21.0
29.430.4
Auto10.7
Teleop12.5
End9.0
Third
6122
#27
18.20.4
17.217.6
Auto6.1
Teleop9.1
End3.0
blue by 8.0
573
#6
26.21.0
29.430.4
Auto5.5
Teleop13.0
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
90%Cargo oddsEarned84%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
72%Hangar oddsEarned93%Hangar oddsEarned