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Red43
85823.5
550919.7
608720.1
Blue66
360330.8
55388.9
549819.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions486602040801001201404366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
858
#23
23.50.3
19.018.7
Auto5.9
Teleop11.1
End6.4
blue by 7.4
3603
#17
30.80.4
28.428.8
Auto8.2
Teleop17.4
End5.3
Second
6087
#28
20.10.3
15.915.6
Auto4.9
Teleop10.7
End4.4
red by 0.9
5498
#25
19.20.4
20.120.5
Auto5.8
Teleop4.3
End9.1
Third
5509
#24
19.70.3
12.312.1
Auto6.1
Teleop7.8
End5.8
red by 10.8
5538
#38
8.90.4
11.511.9
Auto2.6
Teleop4.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
24%Cargo oddsMissed21%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
45%Hangar oddsEarned59%Hangar oddsEarned