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Red115
766026.8
102344.7
57326.2
Blue73
10735.7
30231.9
353632.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10710270809012013014011573

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
#14
44.71.0
39.940.9
Auto5.1
Teleop33.7
End6.0
red by 9.1
107
#4
35.71.6
37.035.4
Auto10.8
Teleop14.4
End10.5
Second
7660
#31
26.81.0
29.630.6
Auto9.8
Teleop13.9
End3.1
blue by 5.4
3536
#20
32.21.6
30.428.8
Auto10.7
Teleop12.5
End9.0
Third
573
#6
26.21.0
30.431.4
Auto5.5
Teleop13.0
End7.8
blue by 5.7
302
#7
31.91.6
29.127.5
Auto6.9
Teleop18.9
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
96%Cargo oddsEarned94%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
75%Hangar oddsEarned81%Hangar oddsEarned