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Red73
353632.2
612218.2
561214.7
Blue102
85823.5
89425.4
776938.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions728702040608010012014016073102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3536
#20
32.20.2
33.934.2
Auto10.7
Teleop12.5
End9.0
blue by 6.5
38.71.5
34.636.0
Auto11.6
Teleop16.1
End10.9
Second
6122
#27
18.20.2
19.019.2
Auto6.1
Teleop9.1
End3.0
blue by 7.2
894
#21
25.41.5
23.024.4
Auto7.4
Teleop8.1
End10.0
Third
5612
#32
14.70.2
16.917.1
Auto5.1
Teleop4.8
End4.8
blue by 8.8
858
#23
23.51.5
22.423.9
Auto5.9
Teleop11.1
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
56%Cargo oddsEarned71%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
77%Hangar oddsEarned88%Hangar oddsEarned