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Red79
191836.9
360225.9
549819.2
Blue111
567538.9
477621.9
317538.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9010105015020079111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
#11
36.90.5
36.936.4
Auto8.0
Teleop17.0
End11.8
blue by 2.1
38.90.9
33.734.6
Auto8.4
Teleop25.3
End5.2
Second
3602
#29
25.90.5
29.028.5
Auto8.2
Teleop9.6
End8.1
blue by 12.2
3175
#16
38.10.9
38.939.8
Auto10.4
Teleop22.1
End5.6
Third
5498
#25
19.20.5
20.119.6
Auto5.8
Teleop4.3
End9.1
blue by 2.8
4776
#37
21.90.9
21.122.0
Auto8.2
Teleop8.7
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
57%Cargo oddsEarned84%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
98%Hangar oddsMissed61%Hangar oddsEarned