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Red129
150637.1
608720.1
567538.9
Blue105
296035.1
887319.1
81830.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9788406080120140160129105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.92.6
36.138.7
Auto8.4
Teleop25.3
End5.2
red by 3.8
2960
#15
35.11.4
35.236.7
Auto7.5
Teleop18.2
End9.3
Second
1506
#10
37.12.6
36.038.6
Auto9.4
Teleop20.3
End7.4
red by 6.9
818
#19
30.21.4
30.632.0
Auto8.4
Teleop13.1
End8.7
Third
6087
#28
20.12.6
17.420.1
Auto4.9
Teleop10.7
End4.4
red by 1.0
8873
#33
19.11.4
17.619.1
Auto6.7
Teleop8.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
94%Cargo oddsEarned97%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
47%Hangar oddsEarned77%Hangar oddsEarned