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Red32
842520.5
561214.7
55388.9
Blue53
57326.2
55777.7
612218.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505902040801001203253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8425
#35
20.51.1
21.620.5
Auto3.0
Teleop7.4
End10.1
blue by 5.7
573
#6
26.20.1
28.428.3
Auto5.5
Teleop13.0
End7.8
Second
5612
#32
14.71.1
16.315.2
Auto5.1
Teleop4.8
End4.8
blue by 3.5
6122
#27
18.20.1
18.318.2
Auto6.1
Teleop9.1
End3.0
Third
5538
#38
8.91.1
10.39.2
Auto2.6
Teleop4.1
End2.3
red by 1.2
5577
#40
7.70.1
7.87.7
Auto3.5
Teleop0.5
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
36%Cargo oddsMissed37%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
66%Hangar oddsMissed58%Hangar oddsEarned