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Red114
22632.0
7040.7
553519.9
Blue55
360225.9
766026.8
85823.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions988740608012014016018011455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#8
40.71.5
41.442.9
Auto13.7
Teleop15.5
End11.5
red by 13.9
7660
#31
26.81.9
28.927.0
Auto9.8
Teleop13.9
End3.1
Second
226
#18
32.01.5
31.332.8
Auto7.8
Teleop12.6
End11.6
red by 6.1
3602
#29
25.91.9
28.827.0
Auto8.2
Teleop9.6
End8.1
Third
5535
#34
19.91.5
18.319.9
Auto6.6
Teleop8.1
End5.2
blue by 3.6
858
#23
23.51.9
25.323.5
Auto5.9
Teleop11.1
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
86%Cargo oddsEarned72%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
90%Hangar oddsEarned75%Hangar oddsMissed