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Red83
30231.9
549819.2
5136.1
Blue102
609023.5
353632.2
276749.4
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9411840608014016018083102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#9
36.10.6
38.437.9
Auto8.9
Teleop16.4
End10.8
blue by 13.3
49.40.4
50.650.2
Auto14.6
Teleop21.2
End13.6
Second
302
#7
31.90.6
33.132.6
Auto6.9
Teleop18.9
End6.1
blue by 0.3
3536
#20
32.20.4
33.032.6
Auto10.7
Teleop12.5
End9.0
Third
5498
#25
19.20.6
19.719.2
Auto5.8
Teleop4.3
End9.1
blue by 4.4
6090
#13
23.50.4
24.424.0
Auto5.1
Teleop8.6
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
68%Cargo oddsEarned92%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
89%Hangar oddsEarned94%Hangar oddsEarned