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Red152
233743.9
2765.3
509023.1
Blue120
258635.4
49445.7
520532.1
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14511950100200152120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#1
65.30.3
65.465.8
Auto15.3
Teleop36.5
End13.4
red by 19.7
494
#2
45.70.2
46.346.1
Auto13.9
Teleop20.1
End11.7
Second
2337
#20
43.90.3
44.044.3
Auto13.7
Teleop20.5
End9.7
red by 8.5
2586
#16
35.40.2
36.035.9
Auto7.7
Teleop19.0
End8.7
Third
5090
#28
23.10.3
23.223.5
Auto4.3
Teleop13.9
End4.8
blue by 9.1
5205
#17
32.10.2
32.732.6
Auto8.8
Teleop16.0
End7.3