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Quarterfinal 4-32022 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Consumers Energy Division
Red122
400340.6
362038.5
85726.7
Blue89
505038.9
516635.2
716028.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1111119010010511512012289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4003
#11
40.60.4
40.1→40.5
Auto12.5
Teleop23.8
End4.4
red by 1.8
5050
#12
38.90.5
39.4→38.9
Auto8.9
Teleop17.5
End12.5
Second
3620
#3
38.50.4
38.0→38.4
Auto9.0
Teleop18.6
End10.8
red by 3.3
5166
#6
35.20.5
35.7→35.2
Auto11.2
Teleop14.5
End9.5
Third
857
#38
26.70.4
26.2→26.6
Auto7.6
Teleop6.9
End12.1
blue by 1.8
7160
#23
28.40.5
29.0→28.4
Auto6.5
Teleop10.0
End11.9