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Red85
262030.3
370737.1
118830.7
Blue79
295927.3
91038.6
600225.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111964060801201401608579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.10.4
38.638.2
Auto7.8
Teleop22.9
End6.5
blue by 1.4
910
#5
38.60.3
38.938.6
Auto11.2
Teleop17.1
End10.3
Second
1188
#10
30.70.4
32.131.8
Auto10.8
Teleop14.9
End5.0
red by 3.5
2959
#19
27.30.3
27.627.3
Auto4.9
Teleop13.4
End9.0
Third
30.30.4
31.731.3
Auto6.5
Teleop11.8
End12.0
red by 5.0
6002
#31
25.30.3
25.625.3
Auto5.8
Teleop12.3
End7.2