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Red87
258635.4
49445.7
520532.1
Blue111
400340.6
362038.5
85726.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127110608010012014016018087111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#2
45.70.7
46.946.2
Auto13.9
Teleop20.1
End11.7
red by 5.0
4003
#11
40.60.1
40.540.6
Auto12.5
Teleop23.8
End4.4
Second
2586
#16
35.40.7
36.636.0
Auto7.7
Teleop19.0
End8.7
blue by 3.1
38.50.1
38.338.4
Auto9.0
Teleop18.6
End10.8
Third
5205
#17
32.10.7
33.432.7
Auto8.8
Teleop16.0
End7.3
red by 5.5
857
#38
26.70.1
26.526.6
Auto7.6
Teleop6.9
End12.1