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Red125
258635.4
49445.7
520532.1
Blue115
400340.6
362038.5
85726.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1241116080100140160180125115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#2
45.70.0
46.246.3
Auto13.9
Teleop20.1
End11.7
red by 5.0
4003
#11
40.60.0
40.640.6
Auto12.5
Teleop23.8
End4.4
Second
2586
#16
35.40.0
36.036.0
Auto7.7
Teleop19.0
End8.7
blue by 3.1
38.50.0
38.438.5
Auto9.0
Teleop18.6
End10.8
Third
5205
#17
32.10.0
32.732.7
Auto8.8
Teleop16.0
End7.3
red by 5.5
857
#38
26.70.0
26.626.7
Auto7.6
Teleop6.9
End12.1