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Red111
258635.4
49445.7
520532.1
Blue93
277132.5
439136.5
8532.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127108608010012014016018020011193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#2
45.70.3
46.946.5
Auto13.9
Teleop20.1
End11.7
red by 9.1
36.50.2
37.337.1
Auto7.1
Teleop18.0
End11.5
Second
2586
#16
35.40.3
36.636.3
Auto7.7
Teleop19.0
End8.7
red by 2.9
2771
#15
32.50.2
33.333.0
Auto8.2
Teleop18.3
End6.1
Third
5205
#17
32.10.3
33.333.0
Auto8.8
Teleop16.0
End7.3
blue by 0.1
85
#18
32.30.2
33.032.8
Auto9.7
Teleop15.7
End6.9