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Red70
836819.2
8532.3
520532.1
Blue49
851721.2
634419.7
85726.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8361401001201407049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#18
32.30.4
29.228.8
Auto9.7
Teleop15.7
End6.9
red by 5.6
857
#38
26.70.8
26.025.2
Auto7.6
Teleop6.9
End12.1
Second
5205
#17
32.10.4
29.328.9
Auto8.8
Teleop16.0
End7.3
red by 10.9
8517
#35
21.20.8
17.817.0
Auto7.2
Teleop7.9
End6.1
Third
8368
#30
19.20.4
17.116.7
Auto6.3
Teleop8.1
End4.8
blue by 0.5
6344
#26
19.70.8
16.515.8
Auto4.6
Teleop6.8
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
90%Cargo oddsEarned15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
62%Hangar oddsMissed76%Hangar oddsEarned