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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions986840608012014016011178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.51.5
31.433.0
Auto7.1
Teleop18.0
End11.5
red by 8.1
7160
#23
28.40.4
26.226.6
Auto6.5
Teleop10.0
End11.9
Second
2586
#16
35.41.5
29.130.6
Auto7.7
Teleop19.0
End8.7
red by 10.7
6033
#37
24.70.4
19.519.9
Auto4.0
Teleop6.5
End14.3
Third
1188
#10
30.71.5
27.929.4
Auto10.8
Teleop14.9
End5.0
red by 9.8
4216
#40
20.90.4
22.422.8
Auto8.2
Teleop4.3
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
61%Cargo oddsEarned14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
65%Hangar oddsEarned98%Hangar oddsEarned