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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions728540601001201406696

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5623
#25
30.80.2
24.724.5
Auto7.6
Teleop15.1
End8.0
blue by 8.1
5050
#12
38.91.2
38.840.0
Auto8.9
Teleop17.5
End12.5
Second
7160
#23
28.40.2
27.227.0
Auto6.5
Teleop10.0
End11.9
red by 4.3
1025
#24
24.21.2
23.524.7
Auto6.0
Teleop12.2
End5.9
Third
8517
#35
21.20.2
17.116.9
Auto7.2
Teleop7.9
End6.1
red by 1.5
6344
#26
19.71.2
15.817.0
Auto4.6
Teleop6.8
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsEarned48%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
82%Hangar oddsMissed80%Hangar oddsEarned