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Red118
521629.7
262030.3
600225.3
Blue118
277132.5
504620.8
362038.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75794060100120140118118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.3
Auto6.5
Teleop11.8
End12.0
blue by 8.2
38.5
Auto9.0
Teleop18.6
End10.8
Second
29.7
Auto6.7
Teleop15.8
End7.1
blue by 2.8
2771
#15
32.5
Auto8.2
Teleop18.3
End6.1
Third
6002
#31
25.3
Auto5.8
Teleop12.3
End7.2
red by 4.5
5046
#34
20.8
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
82%Cargo oddsEarned37%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
80%Hangar oddsEarned74%Hangar oddsEarned