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Red128
295927.3
366832.5
49445.7
Blue110
516635.2
233743.9
85726.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99988090110120128110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#2
45.72.4
37.740.1
Auto13.9
Teleop20.1
End11.7
red by 1.8
2337
#20
43.91.2
42.543.6
Auto13.7
Teleop20.5
End9.7
Second
3668
#13
32.52.4
28.130.5
Auto8.5
Teleop14.4
End9.7
blue by 2.7
35.21.2
24.926.0
Auto11.2
Teleop14.5
End9.5
Third
2959
#19
27.32.4
26.228.6
Auto4.9
Teleop13.4
End9.0
red by 0.6
857
#38
26.71.2
25.226.4
Auto7.6
Teleop6.9
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
83%Cargo oddsEarned86%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
95%Hangar oddsEarned89%Hangar oddsEarned