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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70894060801001201407875

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4003
#11
40.60.7
34.835.5
Auto12.5
Teleop23.8
End4.4
red by 4.1
36.50.4
33.032.6
Auto7.1
Teleop18.0
End11.5
Second
5090
#28
23.10.7
20.621.3
Auto4.3
Teleop13.9
End4.8
blue by 8.8
7782
#22
31.90.4
25.224.8
Auto7.2
Teleop10.7
End14.0
Third
5547
#36
11.50.7
12.713.3
Auto4.4
Teleop3.7
End3.3
blue by 9.4
4216
#40
20.90.4
22.822.4
Auto8.2
Teleop4.3
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
66%Cargo oddsEarned17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed97%Hangar oddsEarned