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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67782040601001201407289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4325
#21
27.50.5
22.322.8
Auto4.5
Teleop13.5
End9.5
blue by 3.2
1188
#10
30.70.6
29.430.0
Auto10.8
Teleop14.9
End5.0
Second
3875
#14
24.70.5
19.019.5
Auto8.3
Teleop10.9
End5.5
blue by 3.8
7160
#23
28.40.6
26.627.2
Auto6.5
Teleop10.0
End11.9
Third
1025
#24
24.20.5
23.023.5
Auto6.0
Teleop12.2
End5.9
red by 3.9
3537
#27
20.20.6
15.716.4
Auto6.3
Teleop7.5
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
44%Cargo oddsEarned51%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
72%Hangar oddsMissed69%Hangar oddsEarned