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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129735010015020011176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#1
65.30.5
61.160.6
Auto15.3
Teleop36.5
End13.4
red by 26.4
5050
#12
38.90.0
38.838.8
Auto8.9
Teleop17.5
End12.5
Second
37.10.5
34.834.3
Auto7.8
Teleop22.9
End6.5
red by 12.4
6033
#37
24.70.0
19.919.9
Auto4.0
Teleop6.5
End14.3
Third
6112
#29
18.80.5
18.317.8
Auto5.3
Teleop5.4
End8.2
blue by 2.4
8517
#35
21.20.0
17.017.1
Auto7.2
Teleop7.9
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
97%Cargo oddsEarned21%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
87%Hangar oddsEarned93%Hangar oddsEarned