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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions936440801001201401607161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1188
#10
30.70.8
29.628.8
Auto10.8
Teleop14.9
End5.0
red by 6.4
6081
#33
24.30.2
22.121.9
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End5.4
Second
2959
#19
27.30.8
30.429.6
Auto4.9
Teleop13.4
End9.0
red by 3.1
1025
#24
24.20.2
24.724.5
Auto6.0
Teleop12.2
End5.9
Third
5090
#28
23.10.8
23.222.4
Auto4.3
Teleop13.9
End4.8
red by 1.8
8517
#35
21.20.2
16.916.7
Auto7.2
Teleop7.9
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
73%Cargo oddsEarned58%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
43%Hangar oddsMissed45%Hangar oddsMissed