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Red117
258635.4
262030.3
516635.2
Blue77
370737.1
85726.7
505038.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions901115010015011777

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2586
#16
35.42.0
31.433.4
Auto7.7
Teleop19.0
End8.7
blue by 3.5
5050
#12
38.91.6
40.038.4
Auto8.9
Teleop17.5
End12.5
Second
35.22.0
28.330.3
Auto11.2
Teleop14.5
End9.5
blue by 1.9
37.11.6
34.032.3
Auto7.8
Teleop22.9
End6.5
Third
30.32.0
27.429.4
Auto6.5
Teleop11.8
End12.0
red by 3.7
857
#38
26.71.6
27.525.8
Auto7.6
Teleop6.9
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
65%Cargo oddsEarned94%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
78%Hangar oddsEarned93%Hangar oddsEarned