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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96500204060801201401609853

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.10.9
32.333.3
Auto7.8
Teleop22.9
End6.5
red by 16.2
8352
#32
21.00.0
19.719.8
Auto7.0
Teleop9.4
End4.6
Second
2959
#19
27.30.9
29.630.5
Auto4.9
Teleop13.4
End9.0
red by 7.0
3537
#27
20.20.0
17.217.2
Auto6.3
Teleop7.5
End6.4
Third
6081
#33
24.30.9
21.922.9
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End5.4
red by 12.8
5547
#36
11.50.0
15.515.5
Auto4.4
Teleop3.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
96%Cargo oddsEarned50%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
75%Hangar oddsEarned31%Hangar oddsMissed