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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77103501506195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5205
#17
32.10.9
31.030.1
Auto8.8
Teleop16.0
End7.3
blue by 8.5
4003
#11
40.60.1
33.934.0
Auto12.5
Teleop23.8
End4.4
Second
1188
#10
30.70.9
28.827.9
Auto10.8
Teleop14.9
End5.0
red by 0.4
30.30.1
29.429.5
Auto6.5
Teleop11.8
End12.0
Third
6112
#29
18.80.9
15.414.4
Auto5.3
Teleop5.4
End8.2
blue by 9.6
7160
#23
28.40.1
29.829.9
Auto6.5
Teleop10.0
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
83%Cargo oddsMissed85%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
56%Hangar oddsEarned86%Hangar oddsEarned