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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89714060801001201401608566

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.50.2
34.134.3
Auto9.0
Teleop18.6
End10.8
red by 7.7
5623
#25
30.80.2
27.727.5
Auto7.6
Teleop15.1
End8.0
Second
35.20.2
30.330.5
Auto11.2
Teleop14.5
End9.5
red by 14.3
4216
#40
20.90.2
26.326.1
Auto8.2
Teleop4.3
End8.5
Third
8368
#30
19.20.2
17.317.6
Auto6.3
Teleop8.1
End4.8
blue by 1.6
5046
#34
20.80.2
15.415.2
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
69%Cargo oddsEarned32%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
72%Hangar oddsMissed91%Hangar oddsMissed