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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78776070901007078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4325
#21
27.50.2
26.025.8
Auto4.5
Teleop13.5
End9.5
blue by 4.4
7782
#22
31.90.3
26.627.0
Auto7.2
Teleop10.7
End14.0
Second
857
#38
26.70.2
25.825.7
Auto7.6
Teleop6.9
End12.1
blue by 3.1
29.70.3
27.928.3
Auto6.7
Teleop15.8
End7.1
Third
6033
#37
24.70.2
20.920.7
Auto4.0
Teleop6.5
End14.3
red by 5.0
6344
#26
19.70.3
18.418.7
Auto4.6
Teleop6.8
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
46%Cargo oddsMissed76%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
99%Hangar oddsEarned92%Hangar oddsEarned