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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92744060801001201401607460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.51.0
35.234.2
Auto9.0
Teleop18.6
End10.8
red by 10.0
7160
#23
28.41.0
30.729.7
Auto6.5
Teleop10.0
End11.9
Second
5205
#17
32.11.0
31.430.4
Auto8.8
Teleop16.0
End7.3
red by 8.0
1025
#24
24.21.0
25.324.2
Auto6.0
Teleop12.2
End5.9
Third
8352
#32
21.01.0
17.916.9
Auto7.0
Teleop9.4
End4.6
red by 9.5
5547
#36
11.51.0
15.614.5
Auto4.4
Teleop3.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
82%Cargo oddsEarned82%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
58%Hangar oddsMissed67%Hangar oddsEarned