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Red106
608124.3
85726.7
509023.1
Blue113
505038.9
562330.8
400340.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7211050100150106113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
857
#38
26.72.2
27.029.2
Auto7.6
Teleop6.9
End12.1
blue by 14.0
4003
#11
40.60.7
35.536.2
Auto12.5
Teleop23.8
End4.4
Second
6081
#33
24.32.2
23.926.1
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End5.4
blue by 14.6
5050
#12
38.90.7
34.535.2
Auto8.9
Teleop17.5
End12.5
Third
5090
#28
23.12.2
21.824.0
Auto4.3
Teleop13.9
End4.8
blue by 7.7
5623
#25
30.80.7
28.429.1
Auto7.6
Teleop15.1
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
68%Cargo oddsEarned92%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
74%Hangar oddsEarned78%Hangar oddsEarned