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Red111
118830.7
8532.3
504620.8
Blue64
634419.7
366832.5
608124.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions808505010015020011164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#18
32.32.1
29.231.3
Auto9.7
Teleop15.7
End6.9
blue by 0.2
3668
#13
32.51.0
33.532.5
Auto8.5
Teleop14.4
End9.7
Second
1188
#10
30.72.1
30.332.3
Auto10.8
Teleop14.9
End5.0
red by 6.4
6081
#33
24.31.0
26.125.1
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End5.4
Third
5046
#34
20.82.1
16.218.3
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End9.5
red by 1.1
6344
#26
19.71.0
19.618.6
Auto4.6
Teleop6.8
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
85%Cargo oddsEarned68%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
74%Hangar oddsEarned93%Hangar oddsEarned