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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86682040601001201401606676

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2586
#16
35.40.8
35.034.2
Auto7.7
Teleop19.0
End8.7
red by 4.6
5623
#25
30.80.7
29.129.8
Auto7.6
Teleop15.1
End8.0
Second
857
#38
26.70.8
29.228.3
Auto7.6
Teleop6.9
End12.1
red by 2.0
3875
#14
24.70.7
21.522.2
Auto8.3
Teleop10.9
End5.5
Third
5547
#36
11.50.8
14.513.7
Auto4.4
Teleop3.7
End3.3
blue by 7.4
6112
#29
18.80.7
15.416.0
Auto5.3
Teleop5.4
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
79%Cargo oddsEarned46%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
78%Hangar oddsEarned62%Hangar oddsEarned