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Red117
370737.1
634419.7
258635.4
Blue112
562330.8
277132.5
49445.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91114406080100140160180117112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.11.7
35.337.0
Auto7.8
Teleop22.9
End6.5
blue by 8.5
494
#2
45.70.3
43.443.7
Auto13.9
Teleop20.1
End11.7
Second
2586
#16
35.41.7
34.235.8
Auto7.7
Teleop19.0
End8.7
red by 2.9
2771
#15
32.50.3
30.530.8
Auto8.2
Teleop18.3
End6.1
Third
6344
#26
19.71.7
18.620.2
Auto4.6
Teleop6.8
End8.3
blue by 11.0
5623
#25
30.80.3
29.830.0
Auto7.6
Teleop15.1
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
90%Cargo oddsEarned92%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
81%Hangar oddsEarned77%Hangar oddsEarned