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Red94
102524.2
439136.5
400340.6
Blue90
8532.3
516635.2
353720.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106924060801201401601809490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4003
#11
40.60.5
37.036.5
Auto12.5
Teleop23.8
End4.4
red by 5.4
35.20.1
36.636.7
Auto11.2
Teleop14.5
End9.5
Second
36.50.5
35.134.5
Auto7.1
Teleop18.0
End11.5
red by 4.3
85
#18
32.30.1
31.331.4
Auto9.7
Teleop15.7
End6.9
Third
1025
#24
24.20.5
25.925.3
Auto6.0
Teleop12.2
End5.9
red by 3.9
3537
#27
20.20.1
20.520.6
Auto6.3
Teleop7.5
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
93%Cargo oddsEarned89%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
85%Hangar oddsEarned74%Hangar oddsEarned