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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121735010015020012098

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2337
#20
43.90.3
43.543.8
Auto13.7
Teleop20.5
End9.7
red by 11.7
5205
#17
32.11.3
32.233.5
Auto8.8
Teleop16.0
End7.3
Second
5050
#12
38.90.3
38.638.9
Auto8.9
Teleop17.5
End12.5
red by 14.2
6033
#37
24.71.3
23.024.3
Auto4.0
Teleop6.5
End14.3
Third
5090
#28
23.10.3
25.225.5
Auto4.3
Teleop13.9
End4.8
red by 2.3
5046
#34
20.81.3
19.721.0
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
93%Cargo oddsEarned68%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
78%Hangar oddsEarned93%Hangar oddsEarned