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Red110
366832.5
716028.4
91038.6
Blue53
85726.7
295927.3
600225.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1068940608012014016018011053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#5
38.60.8
36.837.6
Auto11.2
Teleop17.1
End10.3
red by 11.3
2959
#19
27.32.2
28.626.4
Auto4.9
Teleop13.4
End9.0
Second
3668
#13
32.50.8
31.131.9
Auto8.5
Teleop14.4
End9.7
red by 5.9
857
#38
26.72.2
28.826.6
Auto7.6
Teleop6.9
End12.1
Third
7160
#23
28.40.8
29.530.3
Auto6.5
Teleop10.0
End11.9
red by 3.1
6002
#31
25.32.2
28.426.2
Auto5.8
Teleop12.3
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
71%Cargo oddsEarned82%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
95%Hangar oddsEarned94%Hangar oddsEarned