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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6993501507287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2959
#19
27.30.3
26.426.7
Auto4.9
Teleop13.4
End9.0
blue by 8.2
2586
#16
35.40.2
37.337.4
Auto7.7
Teleop19.0
End8.7
Second
8517
#35
21.20.3
21.121.4
Auto7.2
Teleop7.9
End6.1
blue by 4.1
6002
#31
25.30.2
26.226.4
Auto5.8
Teleop12.3
End7.2
Third
3537
#27
20.20.3
20.620.8
Auto6.3
Teleop7.5
End6.4
blue by 0.6
5046
#34
20.80.2
21.021.2
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
67%Cargo oddsEarned67%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
75%Hangar oddsEarned81%Hangar oddsEarned