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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9183601001201408685

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7782
#22
31.90.1
32.932.8
Auto7.2
Teleop10.7
End14.0
blue by 0.6
3668
#13
32.50.4
31.932.3
Auto8.5
Teleop14.4
End9.7
Second
5623
#25
30.80.1
31.531.4
Auto7.6
Teleop15.1
End8.0
Level
1188
#10
30.70.4
32.633.0
Auto10.8
Teleop14.9
End5.0
Third
8368
#30
19.20.1
19.819.7
Auto6.3
Teleop8.1
End4.8
red by 4.7
6085
#39
14.50.4
14.815.1
Auto6.8
Teleop6.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
75%Cargo oddsEarned78%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
90%Hangar oddsEarned81%Hangar oddsEarned